Economic Updates

Keep up to date on the global economy and its impact on markets.

We see a mid-cycle slowdown, but upside on the horizon

We see a mid-cycle slowdown, but upside on the horizon

Q1 2019 | Capital Markets Outlook

As the S&P 500 Index teetered on the verge of a bear market at year-end, we fielded numerous questions about the prospects for an impending recession.

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Global growth outlook cools amid higher interest rates and market volatility

Q1 2019 | Fixed Income Outlook

The outlook for global growth in 2019 has slipped because of rising real interest rates, trade tensions, and asset market volatility.

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The upside of the downturn

Q1 2019 | Equity Outlook

Equity investors worldwide greeted the new year with an array of heightened concerns.

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Economic Update for March 25, 2019

Economy
  • Existing home sales surged 11.8% in February, according to the National Association of Realtors.
  • The Conference Board Leading Economic Index increased in February.
  • Factory orders increased 0.1% in January, the Census Bureau stated.
  • Durable goods orders rose 0.3% in January, the Census Bureau found.
Employment
  • Initial jobless claims fell by 9,000 to 221,000 in the week ended March 16, according to the Labor Department.
Profits
  • As of March 14, 2019, of the 500 S&P 500 Index companies reporting fourth-quarter earnings, 340 — or 68.0% — beat analysts’ expectations, according to S&P Dow Jones Indices.
Emotion
  • The ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment in Germany increased markedly in March.