Explore research driven analysis of evolving market themes.
September 17, 2018
If Italy's populist government increases government debt, prices of Italian bonds and banks could drop and trigger a larger crisis for the region and world.
Back in black: Higher oil prices to persist
Fueling higher oil prices this year — and counter to market expectations — is a drop in oil inventories since ...
Three risks or three myths
Many of the risks dominating the financial headlines in 2018 are more myth than reality.
Fed actions create a long-term opportunity
We believe fiscal stimulus will lead the Fed further down the tightening path, and could potentially create long-term opportunity.
China’s quest for artificial intelligence
China's hardware tech companies are embracing artificial intelligence, including self-driving cars and surveillance, as the government promotes AI hubs.
The broader meaning of a better earnings harvest
We believe the earnings recession in 2015 and the first half of 2016 marked the beginning of a new earnings cycle.
Sustainable investing: Assessing the choices
Sustainable investing is growing in popularity, and investors should be thoughtful about choosing from a range of strategies and portfolios.
Interest-rate risk is elevated
Gains in employment may herald greater rate risk, giving investors reason to consider income opportunities outside of traditional bond benchmarks.
Are international stocks truly cheap?
On the surface, U.S. stocks appear more expensive than international stocks, but a quantitative comparison reveals the impact of sector valuations.
Why we feel recession talk is premature
The yield curve and Leading Economic Indicators are two effective recession indicators that offer insights on potential opportunities and risks ahead.
The value opportunity
If earnings grow as expected, value stocks may have an edge over growth stocks in 2018.
Munis feel knock-on effects of tax reform
The municipal bond market will likely see a reduction in supply in 2018 because of certain provisions in the new tax reform law.
Market sectors that might lead in 2018
Technology’s strength seems set to continue, but with the prospect of rising rates, financials may also be among the leading market sectors.
Just how cheap are European equities?
Our analysis finds that industry group weightings play a significant role in valuation discrepancies between U.S. and European equities.
What could disturb unprecedented calm in markets?
What’s most remarkable about 2017 is the market calm, but this is not a sign that the trend will revert to the mean.
Looking for impact in CEO compensation
It’s important for investors to be able to understand how a company’s performance relates to CEO compensation.
Longevity and medical costs – education for the great unknowns
Understanding the impact of longevity and medical costs on savings requires education and a proactive approach to saving.
Why a meaningful near-term market correction is unlikely
2017 is a rare year without a stock market correction of at least 5%, but that doesn't make a correction more likely in the fourth quarter.
How the Japan election may influence global interest rates
The Japan election could have consequences for the future leadership of the Bank of Japan and the country's impact on global interest rate trends.
Using and enhancing ESG investment data
ESG data is having investment impact but is still evolving, and stands to benefit from feedback offered by fundamental analysts.
Value benefits from an expanding economy
Value stocks have lagged the market in 2017, but if the economy continues to expand, rates rise, and the yield curve steepens, this trend could reverse.
The views and opinions expressed are those of the speaker, are subject to change with market conditions, and are not meant as investment advice.