Explore research driven analysis of evolving market themes.
January 23, 2018
The municipal bond market will likely see a reduction in supply in 2018 because of certain provisions in the new tax reform law.
Market sectors that might lead in 2018
Technology’s strength seems set to continue, but with the prospect of rising rates, financials may also be among the leading market sectors.
Just how cheap are European equities?
Our analysis finds that industry group weightings play a significant role in valuation discrepancies between U.S. and European equities.
What could disturb unprecedented calm in markets?
What’s most remarkable about 2017 is the market calm, but this is not a sign that the trend will revert to the mean.
Looking for impact in CEO compensation
It’s important for investors to be able to understand how a company’s performance relates to CEO compensation.
Longevity and medical costs – education for the great unknowns
Understanding the impact of longevity and medical costs on savings requires education and a proactive approach to saving.
Why a meaningful near-term market correction is unlikely
2017 is a rare year without a stock market correction of at least 5%, but that doesn't make a correction more likely in the fourth quarter.
How the Japan election may influence global interest rates
The Japan election could have consequences for the future leadership of the Bank of Japan and the country's impact on global interest rate trends.
Using and enhancing ESG investment data
ESG data is having investment impact but is still evolving, and stands to benefit from feedback offered by fundamental analysts.
Value benefits from an expanding economy
Value stocks have lagged the market in 2017, but if the economy continues to expand, rates rise, and the yield curve steepens, this trend could reverse.
Spotting unexpected turns in the growth and value cycle
While a diversified portfolio should include both growth and value, today’s valuations and economy point to a value cycle.
Why investor pessimism may be a good sign
Investor pessimism has historically proven to be reasonably effective as a contrarian investment signal, and market sentiment has plunged again this year.
Take the measure of currency risk in portfolios
With the dollar moving higher since 2014, it's worth considering the currency risk in international portfolios.
What this bull market needs to keep running
With P/E multiples expected to contract as rates rise, earnings growth becomes all the more critical for sustaining the current bull market.
Job growth continues in January
January jobs 257,000 Unemployment rate 5.7% (up from 5.6% in December) The labor participation rate remains near its lowest point of recent years,
Rising receipts may recast federal budget debate
The true measure of underlying economic strength in the United States is not showing up completely in GDP numbers or employment ...
Fed foretells end of QE3
The Federal Reserve has implemented a monetary policy called quantitative easing, or "QE" for short, to drive down interest rates ...
Post-crisis after shocks hasten innovation
Five years after the 2008 financial crisis, we are still feeling the after shocks around the world. Among the deepest sources ...
What two of the best recession signals say today
Two indicators can give the quickest read on whether a recession may be near.
Why Brazil's crisis creates new concerns
The revelations of May 17 may pose a threat to President Temer's administration, and therefore a threat to Brazil's short- and medium-term economic outlook.
Crisis abated, it’s time to dust off the old playbook
Today's pro-cyclical, rising rate environment has a playbook with historical precedent.
The views and opinions expressed are those of the speaker, are subject to change with market conditions, and are not meant as investment advice.